Cutaneous malignant melanoma: A study of skin cancer in the United States from 1973--1997

Cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) is the cancer of the melanocytes, the cells that produce the pigment melanin, and is an aggressive skin cancer that is most prevalent in the white population. Although most cases of malignant melanoma are white, black and other non-white populations also develop this disease. However, the etiologic factors involved in the development of melanoma in these lower-risk populations are not well known. Generally, survival rates of malignant melanoma have been found to be lower in blacks than for whites with similar stage of disease at diagnosis. ^ This study presents an analysis of the differences in survival between black and white cases with malignant melanoma of the skin as the only or first primary cancer, found in the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) cancer registry from 1973 to 1997. A total of 54,193 cases of CMM were diagnosed in black and white patients between 1973 and 1997. Black patients tended to be older, with a mean age of 64.46 years, compared to 53.14 years for white patients. Eighty-nine percent of patients were diagnosed with CMM as the only cancer. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)^

Galectin-3 Enhances the Malignant Melanoma Phenotype by Regulating Autotaxin

In melanoma patient specimens and cell lines, the over expression of galectin-3 is associated with disease progression and metastatic potential. Herein, we have sought out to determine whether galectin-3 affects the malignant melanoma phenotype by regulating downstream target genes. To that end, galectin-3 was stably silenced by utilizing the lentivirus-incorporated small hairpin RNA in two metastatic melanoma cell lines, WM2664 and A375SM, and subjected to gene expression microarray analysis. We identified and validated the lysophospholipase D enzyme, autotaxin, a promoter of migration, invasion, and tumorigenesis, to be down regulated after silencing galectin-3. Silencing galectin-3 significantly reduced the promoter activity of autotaxin. Interestingly, we also found the transcription factor NFAT1 to have reduced protein expression after silencing galectin-3. Electrophoretic mobility shift assays from previous reports have shown that NFAT1 binds to the autotaxin promoter in two locations. ChIP analysis was performed, and we observed a complete loss of bound NFAT1 to the autotaxin promoter after silencing galectin-3 in melanoma cells. Mutation of the NFAT1 binding sites at either location reduces autotaxin promoter activity. Silencing NFAT1 reduces autotaxin expression while over expressing NFAT1 in NFAT1 negative SB-2 melanoma cells induces autotaxin expression. These data suggest that galectin-3 silencing reduces autotaxin transcription by reducing the amount of NFAT1 protein expression. Rescue of galectin-3 rescues both NFAT1 and autotaxin. We also show that the re-expression of autotaxin in galectin-3 shRNA melanoma cells rescues the angiogenic phenotype in vivo. Furthermore, we identify NFAT1 as a potent inducer of tumor growth and experimental lung metastasis. Our data elucidate a previously unidentified mechanism by which galectin-3 regulates autotaxin and assign a novel role for NFAT1 during melanoma progression.

The role of endogenous IFN-beta in cutaneous melanoma: Consequences of epidermal hyperplasia

The purpose of this study was to characterize epidermal hyperplasia overlying malignant melanoma, to determine the mitogenic factor responsible for the induction of this hyperplasia and to investigate its biological consequence. Whether increased keratinocyte proliferation overlying melanoma is due to production of growth factors by the tumor cells or to other mechanisms is unknown. Epidermal hyperplasia overlying human melanoma was found overlying thick (>4.0mm), but not thin (<1.0mm) tumors. Immunostaining of the sections for growth factors related to angiogenesis revealed that epidermal hyperplasia was associated with loss of IFN-β production by the keratinocytes directly overlying the tumors. Since previous studies from our laboratory have demonstrated that exogenous administration of IFN-β negatively regulates angiogenesis, we hypothesize that tumors are able to produce growth factors which stimulate the proliferation of cells in the surrounding tissues. This hyperplasia leads to a decrease in the endogenous negative regulator of angiogenesis, IFN-β. ^ The human melanoma cell line, DM-4 and several of its clones were studied to identify the mitogenic factor for keratinocytes. The expression of TGF-α directly correlated with epidermal hyperplasia in the DM-4 clones. A375SM, a human melanoma cell line that produces high levels of TGF-α, was transfected with a plasmid encoding full-length antisense TGF-α. The parental and transfected cells were implanted intradermally into nude mice. The extent of epidermal hyperplasia directly correlated with expression of TGF-α and decreased production of IFN-β, hence, increased angiogenesis. ^ In the next set of experiments, we determined the role of IFN-β on angiogenesis, tumor growth and metastasis of skin tumors. Transgenic mice containing a functional mutation in the receptor for IFN α/β were obtained. A375SM melanoma cells were implanted both s.c. and i.v. into IFN α/βR −/− mice. Tumors in the IFN α/β R −/− mice exhibited increased angiogenesis and metastasis. IFN α/βR −/− mice were exposed to chronic UV irradiation. Autochthonous tumors developed earlier in the transgenic mice than the wild-type mice. ^ Collectively, the data show that TGF-α produced by tumor cells induces proliferation of keratinocytes, leading to epidermal hyperplasia overlying malignant melanoma associated with loss of IFN-β and enhanced angiogenesis, tumorigenicity and metastasis. ^

Role and regulation of c-KIT gene expression in tumor growth and metastasis of human melanoma

The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of the c-KIT receptor in the progression of human melanoma and the mechanism(s) for the regulation of c-KIT gene expression in human melanoma.^ The molecular changes associated with the transition of melanoma cells from radial growth phase (RGP) to vertical growth phase (VGP) (metastatic phenotype) are not well-defined. Expression of the tyrosine-kinase receptor c-KIT progressively decreases during local tumor growth and invasion of human melanomas. To provide direct evidence that the metastasis of human melanoma is associated with the loss of c-KIT expression, highly metastatic A375SM cells, which express very low or undetectable levels of c-KIT, were tranduced with the human c-KIT gene. We demonstrated that enforced c-KIT expression in highly metastatic human melanoma cells significantly suppressed their tumorigenicity and metastatic propensity in nude mice. In addition, we showed that the ligand for c-KIT, SCF, induces apoptosis in human melanoma cells expressing c-KIT under both in vitro and in vivo conditions. These results suggest that loss of c-KIT receptor may allow malignant melanoma cells to escape SCF/c-KIT-mediated apoptosis, thus contributing to tumor growth and eventually metastasis.^ Furthermore, we investigated the possible mechanism(s) for the down-regulation of c-KIT gene expression in malignant melanoma. Sequence analysis of the c-KIT promoter indicated that this promoter contains several consensus binding-site sequences including three putative AP2 and two Myb sites. Although Myb was shown to be associated with c-KIT expression in human hemotopoietic cells, we found no correlation between c-KIT expression and Myb expression in human melanoma cell lines. In contrast, we showed that c-KIT expression directly correlates with expression of AP2 in human melanoma cells. We found that highly metastatic cells do not express the transcription factor AP2. Expression of AP2 in A375SM cells (c-KIT-negative and AP2-negative) was enough to restore luciferase activity driven by the c-KIT promoter in a dose-dependent manner. On the other hand, co-expression of the dominant-negative form of AP2 (AP2B) in Mel-501 cells (c-KIT-positive and AP2-positive) resulted in two-fold reduction in luciferase activity. Electrophoretic mobility shift assays revealed that the c-KIT promoter contains functional AP2 binding sites which could associate with AP2 protein. Endogenous c-KIT gene expression levels were elevated in AP2 stably-transfected human melanoma A375SM cells. Expression of exogenous AP2 in A375SM cells inhibited their tumorigenicity and metastatic potential in nude mice. The c-KIT ligand, SCF, also induced apoptosis in the AP2 stably-transfected A375SM cells. The identification of AP2 as an important regulator for c-KIT expression suggests that AP2 may have tumor growth and metastasis inhibitory properties, possibly mediated through c-KIT/SCF effects on apoptosis of human melanoma cells. Since AP2 binding sites were found in the promoters of other genes involved in the progression of human melanoma, such as MMP2 (72 kDa collagenase), MCAM/MUC18 and P21/WAF-1, our findings suggest that loss of AP2 expression might be a crucial event in the development of malignant melanoma. ^

Role of the transcription factor activator protein-2alpha in prostate carcinogenesis

Activator protein 2α (AP-2) is a transcription factor known to play a crucial role in the progression of malignant melanoma, colorectal carcinoma, and breast cancer. Several AP-2 target genes are known to be deregulated in prostate cancer, therefore, we hypothesize that loss AP-2 expression plays a causal role in prostate carcinogenesis. Immunofluorescent staining for AP-2 of 30 radical prostatectomy specimens demonstrated that while AP-2 was highly expressed in normal prostate epithelium, its expression was lost in most cases of high grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN), and all cases of prostate cancer studied. Additional analyses demonstrated that AP-2 was associated with normal luminal differentiation and it was not expressed in the basal cell layer. In cell lines, AP-2 was strongly expressed in immortalized normal prostate epithelial cells, whereas low expression was observed in the LNCaP, LNCaP-LN3, and PC3M-LN4 prostate cancer cell lines. Transfection of the highly tumorigenic and metastatic cell line PC3M-LN4 with the AP-2 gene significantly decreased tumor growth in the prostate of nude mice (p = 0.032) and inhibited metastases to the lymph nodes. Moreover, transfection of the low tumorigenic, low metastatic cell line LNCaP-LN3 with full length AP-2; resulted in complete inhibition of tumor incidence in the AP-2 transfectants (0/19) vs. neo control (10/16). A potential mechanism for this loss of tumorigenicity was the modulation of gene expression in prostate cancer cells that mimicked the normal phenotype. Analysis of differential expression between neo control- and AP-2-transfected cells in vitro and in tumors demonstrated low VEGF expression in AP-2 transfectants. We further demonstrated that AP-2 acted as a transcriptional repressor of the VEGF promoter by binding to a GC-rich region located between −88 and −66. This region contains an AP-2 consensus element overlapping two Sp1 consensus elements. We found that Sp3 and AP-2 bound to this region in a mutually exclusive manner to promote activation or repression. Increased VEGF expression has been observed in high grade PIN and in prostate cancer. Here we provide evidence that this early molecular change could be a result of loss of AP-2 expression in the prostatic epithelium. ^

Mechanisms involved in suppression of the elicitation of immune responses by ultraviolet light

The ultraviolet radiation (UVR) present in sunlight is the primary cause of nonmelanoma skin cancer and has been implicated in the development of cutaneous malignant melanoma. Ultraviolet radiation also suppresses the immune response. In the majority of studies investigating the mechanisms regulating UV-induced immune suppression, UV is used to suppress the induction of immune responses. Equally important, is the ability of UVR to suppress established immune responses, such as the recall reaction in humans, which protects against microbial infections. We established a murine model to help elucidate the immunological mechanisms governing UV-induced suppression of the elicitation of immune responses. 80 kJ/m2 of UVR nine days after sensitization consistently suppressed the elicitation of delayed type hypersensitivity reaction to C. albicans . We found ultraviolet A (320±400 nm) radiation was as effective as solar-simulated ultraviolet A + B (290±400 nm) in suppressing the elicitation of an established immune response. The mechanisms involved in UV-induced suppression of the induction & elicitation of the immune response are similar. For example, mice irradiated with UV after immunization generated antigen-specific T suppressor cells. Injection of monoclonal antibodies to IL-10 or recombinant IL-12 immediately after exposure to UVR blocked immune suppression. Liposomes containing bacteriophage T4N5 to the skin of mice also prevented immune suppression, demonstrating an essential role for ultraviolet-induced DNA damage in the suppression of established immune reactions. ^ In addition to damaging DNA, UV initiates immune suppression through the isomerization of urocanic acid in the epidermis. Here we provide evidence that cis-UCA induces systemic immunosuppression via the serotonin (5-hydroxyyryptamine; 5-HT) receptor. Biochemical and immunological analysis indicate that cis-UCA binds to, and activates, the serotonin receptor. Moreover, serotonin specific antibodies block UV- and/or cis-UCA-induced immune suppression. Our findings identify cis-UCA as novel serotonin receptor ligand and indicate that serotonin receptor engagement can activate immune suppression. Cumulatively, our data suggest that similar immune regulatory mechanisms are activated regardless of whether we expose mice to solar-simulated UV (UVA + UVB) radiation or UVA only, and that ultraviolet radiation activates similar immunologic pathways to suppress the induction or the elicitation of the immune response. ^

Loss of activator protein-2alpha results in overexpression of the thrombin receptor and correlates with the malignant phenotype of human melanoma

Increasing evidence demonstrates that the thrombin receptor (protease activated receptor-1, PAR-1) plays a major role in tumor invasion and contributes to the metastatic phenotype of human melanoma. We demonstrate that the metastatic potential of human melanoma cells correlates with overexpression of PAR-1. The promoter of the PAR-1 gene contains multiple putative AP-2 and Sp1 consensus elements. We provide evidence that an inverse correlation exists between the expression of AP-2 and the expression of PAR-1 in human melanoma cells. Re-expression of AP-2 in WM266-4 melanoma cells (AP-2 negative) resulted in decreased mRNA and protein expression of PAR-1 and significantly reduced the tumor potential in nude mice. ChIP analysis of the PAR-1 promoter regions bp −365 to −329 (complex 1) and bp −206 to −180 (complex 2) demonstrates that in metastatic cells Sp1 is predominantly binding to the PAR-1 promoter, while in nonmetastatic cells AP-2 is bound. In vitro analysis of complex 1 demonstrates that AP-2 and Sp1 bind to this region in a mutually exclusive manner. Transfection experiments with full-length and progressive deletions of the PAR-1 promoter luciferase constructs demonstrated that metastatic cells had increased promoter activity compared to low and nonmetastatic melanoma cells. Our data shows that exogenous AP-2 expression decreased promoter activity, while transient expression of Sp1 further activated expression of the reporter gene. Mutational analysis of complex 1 within PAR-1 luciferase constructs further demonstrates that the regulation of PAR-1 is mediated through interactions with AP-2 and Sp1. Moreover, loss of AP-2 in metastatic cells alters the AP-2 to Sp1 ratio and DNA-binding activity resulting in overexpression of PAR-1. In addition, we evaluated the expression of AP-2 and PAR-1 utilizing a tissue microarray of 93 melanocytic lesions spanning from benign nevi to melanoma metastasis. We report loss of AP-2 expression in malignant tumors compared to benign tissue while PAR-1 was expressed more often in metastatic melanoma cells than in benign melanocytes. We propose that loss of AP-2 results in increased expression of PAR-1, which in turn results in upregulation of gene products that contribute to the metastatic phenotype of melanoma. ^

Analysis of endogenous retinoic acid receptor expression and function in murine melanoma cells

There have been numerous reports over the past several years on the ability of vitamin A analogs (retinoids) to modulate cell proliferation, malignant transformation, morphogenesis, and differentiation in a wide variety of cell types and organisms. Two families of nuclear retinoid-inducible, trans-acting, transcription-enhancing receptors that bear strong DNA sequence homology to thyroid and steroid hormone receptors have recently been discovered. The retinoic acid receptors (RARs) and retinoid X receptors (RXRs) each have at least three types designated $\alpha,$ $\beta,$ and $\gamma,$ which are encoded by separate genes and expressed in a tissue and cell type-specific manner. We have been interested in the mechanism by which retinoids inhibit tumor cell proliferation and induce differentiation. As a model system we have employed several murine melanoma cell lines (S91-C2, K1735P, and B16-F1), which are sensitive to the growth-inhibitory and differentiation-inducing effects of RA, as well as a RA-resistant subclone of one of the cell lines (S91-C154), in order to study the role of the nuclear RARs in these effects. The initial phase of this project consisted of the characterization of the expression pattern of the three known RAR and RXR types in the murine melanoma cell lines in order to determine whether any differences exist which may elucidate a role for any of the receptors in RA-induced growth inhibition and differentiation. The novel finding was made that the RAR-$\beta$ gene is rapidly induced from undetectable levels by RA treatment at the mRNA and protein level, and that the induction of RAR-$\beta$ by other biologically active retinoids correlated with their ability to inhibit the growth of the highly RA-sensitive S91-C2 cell line. This suggests a role for RAR-$\beta$ in the growth inhibiting effect of retinoids. The second phase of this project involves the stable expression of RAR-$\beta$ in the S91-C2 cells and the RAR-$\beta$ receptor-null cell line, K1735P. These studies have indicated an inverse correlation between RAR-$\beta$ expression and proliferation rate. ^

IL-2 REGULATION OF IL-24 EXPRESSION LEADS TO GROWTH SUPPRESSION OF MELANOMA CELLS

Melanoma is known to be highly resistant to chemotherapy. Treatment with high dose IL-2 has shown significant clinical benefit in a minority of metastatic melanoma patients and has lead to long term survival in a few cases. However, this treatment is associated with excessive multiorgan toxicities, which severely limits its use. We hypothesize that one mechanism of effective IL-2 therapy is through the direct upregulation of IL-24 production in melanoma tumors and subsequent IL-24 mediated tumor growth suppression. Five melanoma cell lines were treated with high dose recombinant hIL-2 at 1000U/ml. Three of the cell lines (A375, WM1341, WM793) showed statistically significant increases in their levels of IL-24 protein when measured by Western blotting, while the remaining two lines (WM35, MeWo) remained negative for IL-24 message and protein. This increase in IL-24 was abolished by either preincubating with an anti-IL-2 antibody or by blocking the IL-2 receptor directly with antibodies against the receptor chains. We also demonstrated by ELISA that these three cell lines secrete IL-24 protein in higher amounts when stimulated with IL-2 than do untreated cells. These cells were found to contain IL-2R beta and gamma message by RT-PCR and also expressed higher levels of IL-24 when treated with IL-15, which shares the IL-2R beta chain. Thus we propose that IL-2 is signaling through IL-2R beta on some melanoma cells to upregulate IL-24 protein expression. To address the biological function of IL-2 in melanoma cells, five cell lines were treated with IL-2 and cell viability determined. Cell growth was found to be significantly decreased by day 4 in the IL-24 positive cell lines while no effect on growth was seen in WM35 or MeWo. Incubating the cells with anti-IL-24 antibody or transfecting with IL-24 siRNA effectively negated the growth suppression seen with IL-2. These data support our hypothesis that in addition to its immunotherapeutic effects, IL-2 also acts directly on some melanoma tumors and that the IL-24 and IL-2R beta status of a tumor may be useful in predicting patient response to high dose IL-2.

Characterization and optimization of antigen-specific T cell responses during ex vivo expansion of melanoma tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes

Treatment of metastatic melanoma with tumor reactive T cells (adoptive T cell therapy, ACT) is a promising approach associated with a high clinical response rate. However, further optimization of this treatment modality is required to increase the clinical response after this therapy. ACT in melanoma involves an initial phase (pre-REP) of tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) expansion ex vivo from tumor isolates followed by a second phase, “rapid expansion protocol” (REP) generating the billions of cells used as the TIL infusion product. The main question addressed in this thesis was how the currently used REP affected the responsiveness of the CD8+ T cells to defined melanoma antigens. We hypothesized that the REP drives the TIL to further differentiate and become hyporesponsive to antigen restimulation, therefore, proper cytokine treatment or other ways to expand TIL is required to improve upon this outcome. We evaluated the response of CD8+ TIL to melanoma antigen restimulation using MART-1 peptide-pulsed mature DC in vitro. Post-REP TILs were mostly hypo-responsive with poor proliferation and higher apoptosis. Phenotypic analysis revealed that the expression of CD28 was significantly reduced in post-REP TILs. By sorting experiment and microarray analysis, we confirmed that the few CD28+ post-REP TILs had superior survival capacity and proliferated after restimulation. We then went on to investigate methods to maintain CD28 expression during the REP and improve TIL responsiveness. Firstly, IL-15 and IL-21 were found to synergize in maintaining TIL CD28 expression and antigenic responsiveness during REP. Secondly, we found IL-15 was superior as compared to IL-2 in supporting the long-term expansion of antigen-specific CD8+ TIL after restimulation. These results suggest that current expansion protocols used for adoptive T-cell therapy in melanoma yield largely hyporesponsive products containing CD8+ T cells unable to respond in vivo to re-stimulation with antigen. A modification of our current approaches by using IL-15+IL-21 as supporting cytokines in the REP, or/and administration of IL-15 instead of IL-2 after TIL infusion, may enhance the anti-tumor efficacy and long-term persistence of infused T cells in vivo.

LOSS OF GPRC5A ENHANCES SURVIVAL IN NORMAL AND MALIGNANT LUNG EPITHELIAL CELLS BY ELICITING PERSISTENT STAT3 ACTIVATION INDUCED BY AUTOCRINE LIF

Signal transduction and activator of transcription 3 (Stat3) is activated by cytokines and growth factors in many cancers. Persistent activation of Stat3 plays important role in cell growth, survival, and transformation through regulating its targeted genes. Previously, we found that mice with a deletion of the G protein-coupled receptor, family C, group 5, member a (Gprc5a) gene develop lung tumors indicating that Gprc5a is a tumor suppressor. In the present study, we examined he mechanism of Gprc5a-mediated tumor suppression. We found that epithelial cells from Gprc5a knockout mouse lung (Gprc5a-/- cells) survive better in vitro in medium deprived of exogenous growth factors and form more colonies in semi-solid medium than their counterparts from wildtype mice (Gprc5a+/+ cells). The phosphorylation of tyrosine 705 on Stat3 and the expression of Stat3-regulated anti-apoptotic genes Bcl-XL, Cryab, Hapa1a, and Mcl1 were higher in the Gprc5a-/- than in Gprc5a+/+ cells. In addition, their responses to Lif were different; Stat3 activation was persistent by Lif treatment in the Gprc5a-/- cells, but was transient in the Gprc5a+/+ cells. The persistent activation of Stat3 by Lif in Gprc5a-/- cells is due to a decreased level of Socs3 protein, a negative inhibitor of the Lif-Stat3 signaling. Restoration of Socs3 inhibited the persistent Stat3 activation in Gprc5a-/- cells. Lung adenocarcinoma cells isolated from Gprc5a-/- mice also exhibited autocrine Lif-mediated Stat3 activation. Treatment of Gprc5a-/- cells isolated from normal and tumor tissue with AG490, a Stat3 signaling inhibitor, or with dominant negative Stat3(Y705F) increased starvation-induced apoptosis and inhibited anchorage-independent growth. These results suggest that persistent Stat3 activation increased the survival and transformation of Gprc5a-/- lung cells. Thus, the tumor suppressive effects of Gprc5a are mediated, at least in part, by inhibition of Stat3 signaling through regulating the stability of the Socs3 protein.

MCAM/MUC18 REGULATES MELANOMA PROGRESSION BY MODULATING THE EXPRESSION OF ID-1

The acquisition of the metastatic melanoma phenotype is associated with increased expression of the melanoma cell adhesion molecule MCAM/MUC18 (CD146). However, the mechanism by which MUC18 contributes to melanoma metastasis remains unclear. Herein, we stably silenced MUC18 expression utilizing lentivirus-incorporated small hairpin RNA, in two metastatic melanoma cell lines, A375SM and C8161, and conducted cDNA microarray analysis. We identified and validated that the transcriptional regulator, Inhibitor of DNA Binding-1 (Id-1), previously shown to function as an oncogene in several malignancies, was downregulated by 5.6-fold following MUC18 silencing. Additionally, we found that MUC18 regulated Id-1 expression at the transcriptional level via ATF-3. Interestingly, ATF-3 was upregulated by 6.9 fold in our cDNA microarray analysis following MUC18 silencing. ChIP analysis showed increased binding of ATF-3 to the Id-1 promoter after MUC18 silencing, while mutation of the ATF-3 binding site on the Id-1 promoter increased Id-1 promoter activity in MUC18-silenced cells. These Data suggest that MUC18 silencing promotes inhibition of Id-1 expression by increasing ATF-3 expression and binding to the Id-1 promoter. Rescue of MUC18 reverted the expression of Id-1 and ATF-3, thus validating that they are not off-target effects of MUC18. To further assess the role of Id-1 in melanoma invasion and metastasis, we overexpressed Id-1 in MUC18-silenced cells. Overexpression of Id-1 in MUC18-silenced cells resulted in increased cell invasion, as well as increased expression and activity of MMP-2. Our data further reveal that Id-1 regulates MMP-2 at the transcriptional level through Sp1 and Ets-1. This is the first report to demonstrate that MUC18 does not act exclusively in cell adherence, but is also involved in cell signaling that regulates the expression of genes, such as Id-1 and ATF-3, thus contributing to the metastatic melanoma phenotype.

Risk of Second Malignant Neoplasms Following Proton Arc Therapy and Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy for Prostate Cancer

The risk of second malignant neoplasms (SMNs) following prostate radiotherapy is a concern due to the large population of survivors and decreasing age at diagnosis. It is known that parallel-opposed beam proton therapy carries a lower risk than photon IMRT. However, a comparison of SMN risk following proton and photon arc therapies has not previously been reported. The purpose of this study was to predict the ratio of excess relative risk (RRR) of SMN incidence following proton arc therapy to that after volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT). Additionally, we investigated the impact of margin size and the effect of risk-minimized proton beam weighting on predicted RRR. Physician-approved treatment plans were created for both modalities for three patients. Therapeutic dose was obtained with differential dose-volume histograms from the treatment planning system, and stray dose was estimated from the literature or calculated with Monte Carlo simulations. Then, various risk models were applied to the total dose. Additional treatment plans were also investigated with varying margin size and risk-minimized proton beam weighting. The mean RRR ranged from 0.74 to 0.99, depending on risk model. The additional treatment plans revealed that the RRR remained approximately constant with varying margin size, and that the predicted RRR was reduced by 12% using a risk-minimized proton arc therapy planning technique. In conclusion, proton arc therapy was found to provide an advantage over VMAT in regard to predicted risk of SMN following prostate radiotherapy. This advantage was independent of margin size and was amplified with risk-optimized proton beam weighting.